The Truth Hurts: Canadian Political Blog
Well, I had to adjust the model slightly but now I have completed predictions for all of the ridings in Canada. Click on the Riding by Riding predictions in the left column and you can check out any riding you wish. The real accuracy of the model is at the provincial level. These riding predictions are from the worksheets of that model and are provided to you as information. As a result of the changes to the model the comprehensive and daily forecaster were changed. If you are happy or upset with the results of the changes do not panic. If you check the riding by riding results, particularly in Ontario, you can see that a shift of only a few hundred votes can result in many different ridings changing. It is a very close race right now.