The Truth Hurts: Canadian Political Blog
The forecaster has been updated, and I will now be providing daily forecasts at the national and provincial level as well as daily riding predictions.
The two areas of the country with the greatest stability in this election are the Atlantic and Alberta. British Columbia and Ontario, on the other hand, seem to be having difficulties deciding what to do. But the real story is Quebec. The Truth Hurts said the Conservatives were going to make a breakthrough in Quebec and a few days ago pegged their current support at three ridings (see the riding predictions for which three). They continue to hold those three ridings with the possibility that things are going to change in Quebec to the benefit of the Conservatives. The NDP, on the other hand, seems to be getting squeezed out. However, they have some very close races. If things go their way on election day you could easily see them add three or four seats more than what is currently forecasted.
Check back later today as the forecasts and riding predictions will be updated again based on today's SES Research poll.