How Will Your Riding Vote: Riding by Riding Predictions

The Truth Hurts: Canadian Political Blog
The Riding by Riding predictions (see link in left column under "2006 Federal Election") have been updated to include about 2/3 of the Ontario ridings. A threshold of 45% is presently being used before a prediction is made, which accounts for 1/3 not yet having a prediction. That threshold will be lowered as the election approaches. Even so, the results are telling of an election similar to the one held last time. However, the ridings without a prediction could still swing differently, and the areas where there are few riding predictions is also telling. One conversion that is presently being called is the riding of Newmarket-Aurora where the riding will do as their MP, Belinda Stronach, and switch from the Conservatives to the Liberals.